Sunday 31 May 2015

Strokes, behaviour change and austerity


May is National Stroke Awareness Month in the UK. The Stroke Association and NHS official data show that the number of middle aged people suffering a stroke increased dramatically last year. In England, men aged 40 to 54 saw a rise of 46% over the last fifteen years, from the year 2000 to now. That’s 4,260 men in 2000 to 6,221 last year. Women of the same age saw a 30% rise, and for all those aged 20-64, there was a 25% increase. So the message seems to be that people of working age are experiencing strokes, and that strokes are happening at younger ages. The reasons put forward for these rises – at least in the popular media and by the government – are obesity and sedentary lifestyles. The Stroke Association is quite right to point out the dangers of strokes, and to publish information so that people can educate themselves about risks and lifestyle. However, there is perhaps more to the statistics and more to the discussion of causes that needs to be interrogated.

Firstly, the overall incidence of stroke has actually fallen over the 20 years from 1990 to 2010, (from 141.97 per 100,000 to 115.50 per 100,000) and the number of UK deaths fell, from 87,974 in 1990 to 40,282 in 2013. A number of factors contributed here – the decline in smoking, the development of clot-busting drugs and also the changes in emergency treatment, which meant that more stroke sufferers received speedy attention. However, there does seem to be a rise in the last few years among those below the age usually considered as ‘elderly’, that is, amongst the middle-aged, still-working groups in their forties and fifties. Why?

A Department of Health spokesperson commenting on the statistics this month said, “Strokes can have a devastating impact on people and their families. Adopting a healthier lifestyle, like plenty of exercise and eating the right food, is really important to reduce the risk of stroke.” The Stroke Association’s website has four categories giving advice to people wanting to change their lifestyles to reduce stroke – the usual four suspects of Diet and Nutrition, Physical Activity, Smoking, Alcohol.

The high profile stroke of the English broadcaster and journalist, Andrew Marr, has highlighted the fact that, as his wife the journalist Jackie Ashley wrote recently, “Even super fit gym bunnies have strokes”.  Not surprisingly, she has embarked on something of a crusade to point out to the public the predictors of stroke, and how simple it can be to keep a check on the obvious precursor, high blood pressure. For well and fit people, such as Andrew Marr, there might be no reason to check blood pressure. In his case, the stroke seemed to be brought on by attempting a new approach to very high intensity exercise. Jackie Ashley comments at the end of her article “But with just a little more public awareness, the figures for strokes among working-age people could be going down by 50%, rather than up.”

With respect to both these journalists, their experience is not typical, and it arguably would take a lot more than “just a little more public awareness” to reduce strokes.

To say that stroke and other circulatory diseases can be halted purely by ‘behaviour change’ or lifestyles, is utterly victim blaming. ‘Lifestyles’ play a role of course, if by lifestyle we mean the freely chosen ways we decide to live our lives. Everyone makes choices within the broader or narrower range available to them. But there are wider factors over which people have little control. For example, there has been research available for years that shows that noise pollution raises blood pressure and is linked to heart disease. Those living near airports have raised blood pressure in response to aircraft noises, even when they are asleep. The HYENA study of six large European airports in 2008 found this (Jarup et al 2008), and follow up studies reported in the BMJ in 2013 found the same. The British Study (Hansell et al 2013) found that people living near Heathrow had significantly higher rates of stroke, and in the USA, Gan et al (2013) showed higher admission rates for heart problems for anyone living near a major airport.  Studies from the occupational health field show similar elevated risk for those working in noisy environments; a study in Occupational and Environmental Medicine, for example in 2010 show rates of heart problems, hypertension and angina two to three times higher than those who work in quieter settings.

Noise is merely one of the reasons why blood pressure might be elevated. Salt consumption is certainly another well-known contributor to high blood pressure. We know that simple steps like making the holes smaller on saltshakers can reduce salt consumption, and many people do know about these messages. But – we also know that the food industry has a major role to play – and isn’t keeping its side of the bargain. In 2012, the food industry and supermarkets agreed voluntary pledges to act to reduce the amount of calories consumed in the UK, mainly to combat obesity, but also to make eating healthier. A study commission by the government, carried out by the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, which reported recently, (Knai 2015), shows that the ‘responsibility deal’, where food producers voluntarily make their food healthier, such as by reducing salt, has not worked. The authors conclude, “The current nature and formulation of the responsibility deal food pledges is such that pledge implementation is unlikely to have much effect on nutrition-related health in England”. The are glaring absences from the voluntary deal, such as there being no focus on sugar intake, (an obvious contributor to obesity, and thus to elevated blood pressure) and the actions of the food industry have been to focus on education and information, all of which, as the study points out, “may have limited effect. It is well established that interventions which improve information and awareness of health issues or risks do not necessarily translate into positive behavior change.” Indeed. The damning summary of the failure of the ‘responsibility deal’ led to Barbara Gallani, director of regulation, science and health at the Food and Drink Federation saying that the responsibility deal “is the most ambitious and inclusive framework for voluntary action on public health the UK has ever seen.”


 The audacity of these claims is breathtaking, as is the failure of those in power to take any account of what is perhaps the real driver behind the increased rates of stroke - the evidence of the impacts of the government’s austerity programme, or of the unequal consequences of economic recession on poorer people and on different parts of the country. Arguably, it’s social conditions that are the main causal ingredient of raised blood pressure and other signs of stress – yet these are never mentioned in relation to stroke prevention.

When the Journal of Public Health published its March 2015 edition, full of articles about the ongoing effects of poverty and inequality on health, the Guardian reported it by interviewing a man from Newcastle on Tyne whose weekly income fell from £72 a week to £47 as a result of the bedroom tax. (This tax, for those unfamiliar with it, was introduced for those living in social housing who had an ‘unused’ bedroom, as an incentive for people to move to smaller houses). All he ate was sausage rolls and he reportedly said, “I can’t sleep at night. I regularly see my doctor, I suffer from depression.” He is a 56 year old unemployed warehouse worker, and is just one of those reporting increased stress, anxiety, hunger, poor diet and depression as a result of the bedroom tax. Others reported needing ‘blood pressure tablets’.

Copeland et al’s (2015) study shows very clearly how economic recessions affect the poorer north east of the UK more than other parts of the country, whilst De Agostini et al’s study, published in November 2014, patently makes the point that we were ‘not all in it together’, and that certain parts of the country – the poorer ones – were disproportionately affected by the Coalition government’s tax-benefit policy changes. Schreker and Milne’s editorial to the Journal of Public Health March 2015 edition provides an overview of some of this literature, as well as suggesting a manifesto for improving public health inequalities.

This week, the Guardian has another headline – “Thousands plunged into poverty by benefit cap.” The Guardian claims to have seen an internal memo which shows that due to the limit introduced in April 2013, on what benefits families will be able to claim in a year, another 40,000 children will be placed on or below the official poverty line, unless their parents can find extra work. This is on top of the 50,000 children already in this position. The memo says, “Around 40,000 more…children might, in the absence of any behavior change, find themselves in poverty as a result of a reduction in the cap to £23,000. If these families respond to the cap by making behavior change, for example, moving into work, they are likely to see themselves and their children move out of relative poverty.” (Reported in The Guardian 30.05.15 p1). So, here’s another explicit statement that poverty is caused by improper behaviours, and that all that’s needed is behavior change.

The Department of Work and Pensions’ own figures showed that in the 22 months of the new cap, only 11% of households that were just below the cap moved into work. Their own qualitative study into the effects of the cap showed that most capped tenants struggled to afford basic necessities, went without food, and used loan sharks. A quarter was under threat of eviction as they had run up rent arrears. How is it possible to maintain normal blood pressure under these threatening socioeconomic conditions?

If people living in these stressful conditions were to visit their GP, what would that GP do? The GP might take the patient’s blood pressure and what then?

Some other opinions expressed recently have also cast doubt even on Jackie Ashley’s suggestion above, that people need to get checked more regularly. Capewell et al suggest that the NHS Health Checks are a waste of resources. They write that:

“We briefly review here the evidence that the NHS Health Checks (NHSHC) programme represents an ineffective strategy and is currently wasting scarce resources.
The NHSHC programme invites everyone in England aged 40–74 without cardiovascular disease (CVD) for a check every 5 years. The NHSHC website advertises that health checks can
               prevent heart disease, diabetes, kidney disease stroke and dementia,
               provide support and advice to help individuals manage and reduce their risk of future disease.1
However, the NHSHC programme fails to achieve both of these primary objectives. Furthermore, it relies on weak concepts, denies strong scientific counter-evidence and ignores persistent implementation issues.”

This medical solution to keeping people healthy doesn’t appear to be preventing the main causes of mortality and morbidity. Strokes of course do happen to people of all social classes but the emphasis on ‘behaviour change’ and the failure to take into account the social gradient in the incidence of stroke, the failure to look at socioeconomic factors that are implicated in their cause, plus the failure to curb the food industry, means that the rates making the headlines in this Stroke Awareness month, of younger people having strokes, are only likely to get worse.



Capewell, S. McCartney, M., Holland, W., (2015)  Invited Debate: NHS Health checks – a naked Emperor? Journal of Public Health, 37 (2): 187-192.
doi: 10.1093/pubmed/fdv063


Copeland, A., Kasim, A., Bambra, C. (2015) Grim up North or Northern grit? Recessions and the English spatial health divide (1991–2010) Journal of Public Health 37 (1): 34-39. doi: 10.1093/pubmed/fdu019 First published online: March 18, 2014

De Agostini, P., Hills, J., and Sutherland, H. (2014) Were we really all in it together? The distributional effects of the UK Coalition government's tax-benefit policy changes. Working Paper 10 November 2014. Available from: http://sticerd.lse.ac.uk/dps/case/spcc/wp10.pdf


Gan WQ, Davies HW, Demers PA, et al. Exposure to occupational noise and cardiovascular disease in the United States: the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999-2004. Occup Environ Med 2010; DOI:10.1136/oem.2010.055269
Hansell AH, Blangiardo M, Fortunato L, et al. Aircraft noise and cardiovascular disease near Heathrow airport in London: Small area study. BMJ 2013; 347: DOI:10.1136/bmj.f5432.

Jarup L, Babisch W, Houthuijs D, et al. Hypertension and exposure to noise near airports: the HYENA study. Environ Health Perspect. 2008 Mar;116(3):329-33. doi: 10.1289/ehp.10775.

Knai, C., Pettigrew, M., Durand, M et al (2015) Has a public–private partnership resulted in action on healthier diets in England? An analysis of the Public Health Responsibility Deal food pledge.  Food Policy,  54, July, Pages 1–10

Schreker, T., and Milne, E. (2015) Health and politics for 2015 and beyond.  Journal of Public Health, 37 (1): 1-2.
doi: 10.1093/pubmed/fdu112 First published online: January 7, 2015